NFL Results | TigerSportsBets

Corrected owner record. Week 1 follows the corrected performance ledger supplied by the owner. Its reported unidentified opening total is included as one loss and shown separately. Scores are checked against NFL results. Returns assume 1 unit risked per pick using recorded prices; inherited price assumptions are labeled. These are paper returns, not a verified betting-account statement.

Weekly reconciliation

Records below are wins–losses–pushes. Click a week to inspect all 16 games, including missing and No Play entries.

Week / evidence basis	Moneyline	ATS	Over/under	Combined arithmetic	Unsettled / excluded slots
Week 1Owner corrected performance ledger · includes one separately identified reported loss	12–3–015 graded · 80.0% wins	8–7–015 graded · 53.3% wins	6–9–015 graded · 40.0% wins	26–19–0Wins: 12+8+6 Losses: 3+7+9	4 unverified
Week 2Owner-supplied posted Week 2 prediction sheet · all 16 finals verified	6–10–016 graded · 37.5% wins	7–9–016 graded · 43.8% wins	8–8–016 graded · 50.0% wins	21–27–0Wins: 6+7+8 Losses: 10+9+8	None
Week 3Preserved comparison sheet · pregame release proof incomplete	10–6–016 graded · 62.5% wins	8–8–016 graded · 50.0% wins	5–10–015 graded · 33.3% wins	23–24–0Wins: 10+8+5 Losses: 6+8+10	1 no play
Week 4Hash-verified posted reviewed AI editorial revision · all 16 finals verified	12–4–016 graded · 75.0% wins	7–8–116 graded · 46.7% wins	8–8–016 graded · 50.0% wins	27–20–1Wins: 12+7+8 Losses: 4+8+8	None
2026 NFL totalWeeks 1–4 complete; corrected record	40–23–0	30–32–1	27–35–0	97–90–1188 counted outcomes	Missing and No Play entries excluded

Week 1: 44 independently graded game selections + 1 unassigned owner-reported loss = 45 counted. Three Dallas selections and the SF–LAR total slot are unidentified; the reported loss is not automatically assigned to SF–LAR. Week 2: 48 posted selections graded against 16 official finals. Week 3: 47 comparisons + 1 No edge = 48. Week 4: 48 settled selections. Coverage: 64 games × 3 markets = 192 game slots, plus one separate owner-reported result. Missing game slots are excluded; the unassigned loss is counted once.

ROI with a visible price basis

Week	Market	Risk / quote coverage	Profit arithmetic	Paper ROI	Qualification
Week 1	Moneyline	15u paper risk15/15 graded rows priced (assumptions labeled)	8.040470u winning profit − 3u losses = +5.040470u	+33.60%+5.0405u	Corrected workbook prices; inherited assumed -110 prices are labeled on each affected row. The totals market includes the reported unidentified loss.
Week 1	ATS	15u paper risk15/15 graded rows priced (assumptions labeled)	7.487896u winning profit − 7u losses = +0.487896u	+3.25%+0.4879u	Corrected workbook prices; inherited assumed -110 prices are labeled on each affected row. The totals market includes the reported unidentified loss.
Week 1	Over/under	15u paper risk15/15 graded rows priced (assumptions labeled)	5.529611u winning profit − 9u losses = -3.470389u	-23.14%-3.4704u	Corrected workbook prices; inherited assumed -110 prices are labeled on each affected row. The totals market includes the reported unidentified loss.
Week 2	Moneyline	16u paper risk16/16 graded rows priced (assumptions labeled)	3.128250u winning profit − 10u losses = -6.871750u	-42.95%-6.8717u	Posted moneyline prices; ATS and total paper returns use a disclosed -110 assumption because their prices were not shown.
Week 2	ATS	16u paper risk16/16 graded rows priced (assumptions labeled)	6.363636u winning profit − 9u losses = -2.636364u	-16.48%-2.6364u	Posted moneyline prices; ATS and total paper returns use a disclosed -110 assumption because their prices were not shown.
Week 2	Over/under	16u paper risk16/16 graded rows priced (assumptions labeled)	7.272727u winning profit − 8u losses = -0.727273u	-4.55%-0.7273u	Posted moneyline prices; ATS and total paper returns use a disclosed -110 assumption because their prices were not shown.
Week 3	Moneyline	16u paper risk16/16 graded rows priced (assumptions labeled)	8.025187u winning profit − 6u losses = +2.025187u	+12.66%+2.0252u	Comparison-price scenario; Thursday quote captured after final. ATS/total prices were not retained.
Week 3	ATS	16u paper risk0/16 graded rows priced (assumptions labeled)	8 known 1u losses; winning payouts missing.	N/C · missing winning pricesN/C	Comparison-price scenario; Thursday quote captured after final. ATS/total prices were not retained.
Week 3	Over/under	15u paper risk0/15 graded rows priced (assumptions labeled)	10 known 1u losses; winning payouts missing.	N/C · missing winning pricesN/C	Comparison-price scenario; Thursday quote captured after final. ATS/total prices were not retained.
Week 4	Moneyline	16u paper risk16/16 graded rows priced (assumptions labeled)	7.772174u winning profit − 4u losses = +3.772174u	+23.58%+3.7722u	Posted October 1 comparison quotes; all 16 games settled. Seattle push retains its 1u denominator.
Week 4	ATS	16u paper risk16/16 graded rows priced (assumptions labeled)	6.496265u winning profit − 8u losses = -1.503735u	-9.40%-1.5037u	Posted October 1 comparison quotes; all 16 games settled. Seattle push retains its 1u denominator.
Week 4	Over/under	16u paper risk16/16 graded rows priced (assumptions labeled)	7.293819u winning profit − 8u losses = -0.706181u	-4.41%-0.7062u	Posted October 1 comparison quotes; all 16 games settled. Seattle push retains its 1u denominator.
Week 1	All markets	45u paper risk	+2.0580u net across all three markets	+4.57%	Sum market profits, then divide by total settled risk. Missing winning prices prevent a combined ROI.
Week 2	All markets	48u paper risk	-10.2354u net across all three markets	-21.32%	Sum market profits, then divide by total settled risk. Missing winning prices prevent a combined ROI.
Week 3	All markets	47u paper risk	N/C net across all three markets	N/C · missing winning prices	Sum market profits, then divide by total settled risk. Missing winning prices prevent a combined ROI.
Week 4	All markets	48u paper risk	+1.5623u net across all three markets	+3.25%	Sum market profits, then divide by total settled risk. Missing winning prices prevent a combined ROI.
Weeks 1–4	Moneyline total	63u paper risk	+3.9661u	+6.30%	Weighted price-based paper scenario; Week 3 comparison-price limitation applies. Combined ATS, totals and overall ROI remain unavailable.

Formula: a +150 win earns +1.5u; a −200 win earns +0.5u; every 1u loss costs −1u; a push earns 0u. ROI = net profit ÷ settled units risked × 100. Pushes remain in units risked; pending, No Play and unverified entries receive no settled stake. Winning payouts use full precision before totals are rounded. A high moneyline win rate can still lose money when favorite prices are expensive.

Count reconciliation

How the corrected totals add up

Week 1: opening card 5–1 + Sunday 19–17 + Monday 2–1 = 26–19. By market: ML 12–3 + ATS 8–7 + totals 6–9. The opening-card loss is owner-reported and unidentified; 44 game-specific rows independently grade 26–18, plus that reported loss gives 26–19. Dallas has three missing selections.

Denver–Kansas City Week 1: the corrected selections are Kansas City ML, Kansas City −2.5 and Over 42.5. NFL final Denver 10, Kansas City 31 produces win, win, loss. The prior workbook score 13–20 was corrected; those three grades remain unchanged.

Week 2: the owner-supplied posted sheet contains all 48 selections. Against the official 16 finals: ML 6–10 + ATS 7–9 + totals 8–8 = 21–27. Moneyline prices are the posted prices; ATS and total returns use a disclosed −110 assumption because their prices were not shown.

Week 3: ML 10–6 + ATS 8–8 + totals 5–10 = 23–24, with one No edge excluded. The recovered comparison moneyline prices support a paper scenario; the Thursday price was captured after the game. Exact ATS and total prices are missing, so those ROIs cannot be calculated.

Week 4: ML 12–4 + ATS 7–8–1 + totals 8–8 = 27–20–1. Atlanta beat New Orleans 45–24, so the Atlanta ML, Atlanta +2.5 and Over 47.5 selections all win. These are the posted reviewed editorial selections.

Your questions about Week 4

Winner, spread and total are different calls.

Chicago ML + Jets +3.5

Jets +3.5 is ATS, not moneyline. Both selections win if Chicago wins by 1, 2 or 3 points. The saved ATS rationale cited Chicago's unsettled starting quarterback and short turnaround, plus Geno Smith's preceding 321-yard, three-TD game. It did not contain a numeric margin projection supporting that narrow result. Chicago won 23–12: Chicago ML won; Jets +3.5 lost.

San Francisco ML + Denver +3

Both win if San Francisco wins by 1 or 2; a three-point San Francisco win gives an ATS push. The saved rationale cited expected Bosa absence, unresolved Evans/Williams availability, and Denver's previous 30 points. It did not show a quantified adjustment proving Denver +3 was valuable. San Francisco won 24–14: its ML won; Denver +3 lost.

Why +3 rather than +3.5?

The preserved September 30, 11:33 PM ET manual DraftKings reference and October 1, 1:14:50 PM EDT posted observation both show Denver +3. No +3.5 → +3 move is established. An integer line is valid: +3 pushes on a three-point loss; +3.5 wins on that result. The audit grades the actual recorded +3, not a more favorable substitute.

Were earlier points per game considered?

The published editorial explanations used earlier scoring and points allowed. A complete numerical totals projection was not attached to those selections. The scoring check below makes the earlier results and calculation visible.

Chicago's Under rationale selected its latest 12- and 34-point game totals, while its first game totaled 96. Denver's Over rationale emphasized San Francisco's 32.7 points per game and Denver's scoring trend of 10, 20 and 30. Those facts were considered, but no reproducible opponent-adjusted or pace-adjusted totals calculation was attached to the released editorial picks.

Week 4 statistical check: earlier scoring averages for every game

This audit calculation is made now using only official Weeks 1–3 results. It is a descriptive diagnostic, not the original prediction and not a calibrated betting recommendation. Expected total = (away PF/game + home PA/game + home PF/game + away PA/game) ÷ 2. PF = points scored; PA = points allowed. No Week 4 scores enter the averages.

Matchup	Away earlier scoring	Home earlier scoring	Simple arithmetic	Recorded total / original call	Diagnostic side / actual total
PIT @ CLE	PF 17.67 · PA 20.00Scored [20, 3, 30] Game totals [33, 23, 57]	PF 18.00 · PA 23.67Scored [10, 23, 21] Game totals [44, 42, 39]	(17.67 + 23.67 + 18.00 + 20.00) / 2 = 39.67	Under 38.5The offenses average 17.7 and 18.0 points; Cleveland's center absence can disrupt drives. Low conviction at an already low total; rain is not an automatic scoring penalty.	OverActual total: 51
IND @ WAS	PF 24.00 · PA 30.33Scored [23, 30, 19] Game totals [64, 63, 36]	PF 25.00 · PA 30.67Scored [22, 20, 33] Game totals [46, 57, 64]	(24.00 + 30.67 + 25.00 + 30.33) / 2 = 55.00	Over 47.5Both defenses allow more than 30 points per game, while the offenses combine for 49.0. Washington scored 33 last week with Mariota starting.	OverActual total: 43
TEN @ BAL	PF 12.33 · PA 19.67Scored [10, 20, 7] Game totals [33, 44, 19]	PF 30.67 · PA 26.00Scored [41, 17, 34] Game totals [64, 41, 65]	(12.33 + 26.00 + 30.67 + 19.67) / 2 = 44.33	Under 42.5Tennessee has scored ten, 20 and seven, leaving Baltimore to supply most of the scoring required to exceed 42.5. Titans guard losses and RB uncertainty, plus Ravens quarterback and line limitations, support a lower total without treating rain as an automatic penalty.	OverActual total: 42
NE @ BUF	PF 12.00 · PA 17.00Scored [10, 20, 6] Game totals [23, 23, 41]	PF 33.67 · PA 26.00Scored [36, 41, 24] Game totals [67, 72, 40]	(12.00 + 26.00 + 33.67 + 17.00) / 2 = 44.33	Under 48.5New England's three game totals were 23, 23 and 41. Reaching 49 needs a major Patriots rebound or a very large Buffalo contribution.	UnderActual total: 55
NYJ @ CHI	PF 21.33 · PA 20.33Scored [23, 17, 24] Game totals [33, 37, 55]	PF 29.67 · PA 17.67Scored [59, 3, 27] Game totals [96, 12, 34]	(21.33 + 17.67 + 29.67 + 20.33) / 2 = 44.50	Under 43.5Chicago's last two games totaled 12 and 34. Its quarterback uncertainty and Jets practice absences at RB, WR, guard and TE support a defense-led game.	OverActual total: 35
JAX @ CIN	PF 27.33 · PA 12.00Scored [34, 13, 35] Game totals [44, 33, 41]	PF 26.67 · PA 21.00Scored [33, 20, 27] Game totals [60, 26, 57]	(27.33 + 21.00 + 26.67 + 12.00) / 2 = 43.50	Under 51.5Jacksonville's game totals were 44, 33 and 41, with every opponent held to 20 or fewer. That supports a competitive game below 51.5.	UnderActual total: 39
DAL @ HOU	PF 29.33 · PA 27.33Scored [20, 37, 31] Game totals [48, 57, 65]	PF 18.00 · PA 25.00Scored [31, 6, 17] Game totals [67, 26, 36]	(29.33 + 25.00 + 18.00 + 27.33) / 2 = 49.83	Over 48.5Dallas' last two games totaled 57 and 65, with the Cowboys scoring 37 and 31, supporting Over 48.5. Both defenses have injury exposure: Dallas had Durant, Revel and Overshown DNP; Houston had Al-Shaair DNP and Anderson/Bullock limited. Collins' health matters to Houston's scoring contribution.	OverActual total: 64
ARI @ NYG	PF 21.00 · PA 27.00Scored [26, 7, 30] Game totals [40, 38, 66]	PF 15.33 · PA 18.33Scored [28, 6, 12] Game totals [48, 34, 19]	(21.00 + 18.33 + 15.33 + 27.00) / 2 = 40.83	Under 44.5New York scored six and 12 in its last two games and allows 18.3 points per game overall. The offenses combine for 36.3 points per game, supporting Under 44.5. Rain risk is a check, not a numerical adjustment.	UnderActual total: 60
LAR @ PHI	PF 20.33 · PA 21.00Scored [7, 28, 26] Game totals [34, 34, 56]	PF 18.33 · PA 23.00Scored [24, 24, 7] Game totals [46, 44, 34]	(20.33 + 23.00 + 18.33 + 21.00) / 2 = 41.33	Under 43.5The offenses average 20.3 and 18.3 points, below 43.5 combined. The Rams' 275.3 yards allowed and Philadelphia's disrupted receivers support Under; Nacua's return could improve Rams finishing, so this is a modest lean.	UnderActual total: 44
GB @ TB	PF 18.67 · PA 30.33Scored [22, 20, 14] Game totals [61, 37, 49]	PF 20.67 · PA 26.33Scored [27, 19, 16] Game totals [60, 42, 39]	(18.67 + 26.33 + 20.67 + 30.33) / 2 = 48.00	Under 38.5Tampa Bay's first-time starter and McMillan's IR absence lower the offensive outlook from the Mayfield-led baseline. Green Bay scored 20 and 14 in its last two games, lost Reed to IR and struggles to run against a strong Tampa run defense.	OverActual total: 31
MIA @ MIN	PF 12.00 · PA 28.67Scored [13, 13, 10] Game totals [40, 48, 34]	PF 23.67 · PA 13.67Scored [39, 9, 23] Game totals [61, 12, 39]	(12.00 + 13.67 + 23.67 + 28.67) / 2 = 39.00	Under 38.5Miami averages 12.0 points and loses Achane. Minnesota averages 154.0 passing yards; its last two game totals were 12 and 39, with Jefferson unresolved.	OverActual total: 25
KC @ LV	PF 29.33 · PA 16.67Scored [31, 33, 24] Game totals [41, 63, 34]	PF 29.33 · PA 18.00Scored [27, 26, 35] Game totals [40, 40, 62]	(29.33 + 18.00 + 29.33 + 16.67) / 2 = 46.67	Under 47.5The defenses allow 16.7 and 18.0 points. Kansas City's 183.7 passing yards allowed challenges the Raiders' touchdown-heavy start; the Under is a weak lean.	UnderActual total: 57
LAC @ SEA	PF 14.67 · PA 25.33Scored [14, 14, 16] Game totals [40, 40, 40]	PF 25.00 · PA 16.67Scored [13, 31, 31] Game totals [23, 38, 64]	(14.67 + 16.67 + 25.00 + 25.33) / 2 = 40.83	Under 42.5The Chargers have not reached 17 points, facing Seattle's 152.0 passing yards allowed. Seattle's thin backfield adds uncertainty to sustained scoring; weak Under lean.	UnderActual total: 53
DEN @ SF	PF 20.00 · PA 23.33Scored [10, 20, 30] Game totals [41, 33, 56]	PF 32.67 · PA 16.67Scored [27, 35, 36] Game totals [34, 48, 66]	(20.00 + 16.67 + 32.67 + 23.33) / 2 = 46.33	Over 47.5San Francisco's 32.7 points and 136.3 rushing yards meet a Denver defense allowing 23.3 points and 143.7 rushing yards. Denver's scoring progressed from ten to 20 to 30.	UnderActual total: 38
DET @ CAR	PF 31.00 · PA 31.67Scored [31, 31, 31] Game totals [61, 72, 55]	PF 29.67 · PA 27.67Scored [37, 34, 18] Game totals [96, 37, 39]	(31.00 + 27.67 + 29.67 + 31.67) / 2 = 60.00	Over 51.5Detroit's game totals were 61, 72 and 55, while Carolina averages 313.0 passing yards. Both secondaries have IR losses; Young practiced fully Wednesday.	OverActual total: 58
ATL @ NO	PF 17.00 · PA 22.67Scored [13, 3, 35] Game totals [33, 37, 49]	PF 27.00 · PA 27.67Scored [30, 24, 27] Game totals [61, 41, 62]	(17.00 + 27.67 + 27.00 + 22.67) / 2 = 47.17	Over 47.5New Orleans averages 305.7 passing yards against Atlanta's 273.3 allowed, with Terrell on IR. Atlanta's 35-point outing offers a route to answering the Saints.	UnderActual total: 69

Chicago–Jets: descriptive total 44.50 versus 43.5; the posted Under used recent low-scoring games. Denver–San Francisco: descriptive total 46.33 versus 47.5; the posted Over used a different editorial weighting. Neither diagnostic establishes an edge. Small samples, opponent quality, pace, possessions, injuries and venue need a tested model with uncertainty.

Week 1 · all 16 games

Individual game review

Owner corrected performance ledger · includes one separately identified reported loss.

New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks

NE 10 · SEA 13

Wednesday, September 9th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW1-NE-SEA-MONEYLINE	Seattle SeahawksOwner corrected selection controls this tracker	-180Archived pregame display; Exact ML price preserved	WIN13 − 10 = +3; selected team won	1 × 100/180 = +0.5556u
ATSW1-NE-SEA-ATS	New England Patriots +3.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-118Frozen licensed odds snapshot; Active corrected slate; FanDuel +3.5 (-118)	WIN10 + (+3.5) − 13 = +0.5	1 × 100/118 = +0.8475u
Over/underW1-NE-SEA-TOTAL	Under 44.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-110Frozen licensed odds snapshot; Confirmed winning total; BetUS 44.5 (-110)	WIN10 + 13 = 23; 23 < 44.5; Under	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u

Paper return at corrected workbook prices; assumptions retained and identified in price evidence.

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams

SF 27 · LAR 7

Thursday, September 10th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW1-SF-LAR-MONEYLINE	San Francisco 49ersOwner corrected selection controls this tracker	+160Frozen pregame market evidence; Supersedes Rams ML -190; SF +160 restored from preserved pregame evidence	WIN27 − 7 = +20; selected team won	1 × 160/100 = +1.6000u
ATSW1-SF-LAR-ATS	San Francisco 49ers +3.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-102Frozen licensed odds snapshot; Supersedes Rams -3.5 (-112); FanDuel SF +3.5 (-102)	WIN27 + (+3.5) − 7 = +23.5	1 × 100/102 = +0.9804u
Over/underW1-SF-LAR-TOTAL	No released pickCorrected owner ledger: selection missing	Not capturedMissing	UNVERIFIEDSelection not identified in corrected ledger. Unassigned reported opening loss is separately counted, without assigning it to this game.	Not risked / not settled.

Paper return at corrected workbook prices; assumptions retained and identified in price evidence.

Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers

CHI 59 · CAR 37

Sunday, September 13th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW1-CHI-CAR-MONEYLINE	Chicago BearsOwner corrected selection controls this tracker	-155Frozen licensed odds snapshot	WIN59 − 37 = +22; selected team won	1 × 100/155 = +0.6452u
ATSW1-CHI-CAR-ATS	Carolina Panthers +2.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-110Frozen licensed odds snapshot; Assumed -110 pending odds-sheet confirmation	LOSS37 + (+2.5) − 59 = -19.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW1-CHI-CAR-TOTAL	Under 46.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-105Frozen licensed odds snapshot	LOSS59 + 37 = 96; 96 > 46.5; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Paper return at corrected workbook prices; assumptions retained and identified in price evidence.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals

TB 27 · CIN 33

Sunday, September 13th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW1-TB-CIN-MONEYLINE	Cincinnati BengalsOwner corrected selection controls this tracker	-205Frozen licensed odds snapshot	WIN33 − 27 = +6; selected team won	1 × 100/205 = +0.4878u
ATSW1-TB-CIN-ATS	Cincinnati Bengals -4Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-102Frozen licensed odds snapshot	WIN33 + (-4) − 27 = +2	1 × 100/102 = +0.9804u
Over/underW1-TB-CIN-TOTAL	Under 50.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-112Frozen licensed odds snapshot	LOSS27 + 33 = 60; 60 > 50.5; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Paper return at corrected workbook prices; assumptions retained and identified in price evidence.

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions

NO 30 · DET 31

Sunday, September 13th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW1-NO-DET-MONEYLINE	Detroit LionsOwner corrected selection controls this tracker	-310Frozen licensed odds snapshot	WIN31 − 30 = +1; selected team won	1 × 100/310 = +0.3226u
ATSW1-NO-DET-ATS	New Orleans Saints +6.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	+100Frozen licensed odds snapshot	WIN30 + (+6.5) − 31 = +5.5	1 × 100/100 = +1.0000u
Over/underW1-NO-DET-TOTAL	Under 49.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-102Frozen licensed odds snapshot	LOSS30 + 31 = 61; 61 > 49.5; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Paper return at corrected workbook prices; assumptions retained and identified in price evidence.

Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans

BUF 36 · HOU 31

Sunday, September 13th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW1-BUF-HOU-MONEYLINE	Houston TexansOwner corrected selection controls this tracker	-105Frozen licensed odds snapshot	LOSS31 − 36 = -5; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW1-BUF-HOU-ATS	Houston Texans +0Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	+100Frozen licensed odds snapshot	LOSS31 + (+0) − 36 = -5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW1-BUF-HOU-TOTAL	Over 44.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-115Frozen licensed odds snapshot	WIN36 + 31 = 67; 67 > 44.5; Over	1 × 100/115 = +0.8696u

Paper return at corrected workbook prices; assumptions retained and identified in price evidence.

Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts

BAL 41 · IND 23

Sunday, September 13th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW1-BAL-IND-MONEYLINE	Baltimore RavensOwner corrected selection controls this tracker	-175Frozen licensed odds snapshot	WIN41 − 23 = +18; selected team won	1 × 100/175 = +0.5714u
ATSW1-BAL-IND-ATS	Indianapolis Colts +2.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-110Frozen licensed odds snapshot; Assumed -110 pending odds-sheet confirmation	LOSS23 + (+2.5) − 41 = -15.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW1-BAL-IND-TOTAL	Over 48.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-110Frozen licensed odds snapshot; Assumed -110 pending odds-sheet confirmation	WIN41 + 23 = 64; 64 > 48.5; Over	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u

Paper return at corrected workbook prices; assumptions retained and identified in price evidence.

Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars

CLE 10 · JAX 34

Sunday, September 13th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW1-CLE-JAX-MONEYLINE	Jacksonville JaguarsOwner corrected selection controls this tracker	-455Frozen licensed odds snapshot	WIN34 − 10 = +24; selected team won	1 × 100/455 = +0.2198u
ATSW1-CLE-JAX-ATS	Jacksonville Jaguars -9Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-105Frozen licensed odds snapshot	WIN34 + (-9) − 10 = +15	1 × 100/105 = +0.9524u
Over/underW1-CLE-JAX-TOTAL	Over 40.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-110Frozen licensed odds snapshot	WIN10 + 34 = 44; 44 > 40.5; Over	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u

Paper return at corrected workbook prices; assumptions retained and identified in price evidence.

Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers

ATL 13 · PIT 20

Sunday, September 13th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW1-ATL-PIT-MONEYLINE	Pittsburgh SteelersOwner corrected selection controls this tracker	-185Frozen licensed odds snapshot	WIN20 − 13 = +7; selected team won	1 × 100/185 = +0.5405u
ATSW1-ATL-PIT-ATS	Atlanta Falcons +6.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-110Frozen licensed odds snapshot; Assumed -110 pending odds-sheet confirmation	LOSS13 + (+6.5) − 20 = -0.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW1-ATL-PIT-TOTAL	Over 41Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-110Frozen licensed odds snapshot; Assumed -110 pending odds-sheet confirmation	LOSS13 + 20 = 33; 33 < 41; Over	1u risked → −1.0000u

Paper return at corrected workbook prices; assumptions retained and identified in price evidence.

New York Jets at Tennessee Titans

NYJ 23 · TEN 10

Sunday, September 13th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW1-NYJ-TEN-MONEYLINE	New York JetsOwner corrected selection controls this tracker	+105Frozen licensed odds snapshot; Supersedes Tennessee moneyline	WIN23 − 10 = +13; selected team won	1 × 105/100 = +1.0500u
ATSW1-NYJ-TEN-ATS	Tennessee Titans -1.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-110Frozen licensed odds snapshot	LOSS10 + (-1.5) − 23 = -14.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW1-NYJ-TEN-TOTAL	Over 39.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-110Frozen licensed odds snapshot	LOSS23 + 10 = 33; 33 < 39.5; Over	1u risked → −1.0000u

Paper return at corrected workbook prices; assumptions retained and identified in price evidence.

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers

ARI 26 · LAC 14

Sunday, September 13th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW1-ARI-LAC-MONEYLINE	Los Angeles ChargersOwner corrected selection controls this tracker	-485Frozen licensed odds snapshot	LOSS14 − 26 = -12; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW1-ARI-LAC-ATS	Arizona Cardinals +8.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-110Frozen licensed odds snapshot; Assumed -110 pending odds-sheet confirmation	WIN26 + (+8.5) − 14 = +20.5	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u
Over/underW1-ARI-LAC-TOTAL	Under 47Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-102Frozen licensed odds snapshot	WIN26 + 14 = 40; 40 < 47; Under	1 × 100/102 = +0.9804u

Paper return at corrected workbook prices; assumptions retained and identified in price evidence.

Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders

MIA 13 · LV 27

Sunday, September 13th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW1-MIA-LV-MONEYLINE	Miami DolphinsOwner corrected selection controls this tracker	+154Frozen licensed odds snapshot	LOSS13 − 27 = -14; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW1-MIA-LV-ATS	Miami Dolphins +3Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-110Frozen licensed odds snapshot; Assumed -110 pending odds-sheet confirmation	LOSS13 + (+3) − 27 = -11	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW1-MIA-LV-TOTAL	Over 40.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-110Frozen licensed odds snapshot	LOSS13 + 27 = 40; 40 < 40.5; Over	1u risked → −1.0000u

Paper return at corrected workbook prices; assumptions retained and identified in price evidence.

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings

GB 22 · MIN 39

Sunday, September 13th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW1-GB-MIN-MONEYLINE	Minnesota VikingsOwner corrected selection controls this tracker	-122Frozen licensed odds snapshot	WIN39 − 22 = +17; selected team won	1 × 100/122 = +0.8197u
ATSW1-GB-MIN-ATS	Minnesota Vikings -2Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-110Frozen licensed odds snapshot; Assumed -110 pending odds-sheet confirmation	WIN39 + (-2) − 22 = +15	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u
Over/underW1-GB-MIN-TOTAL	Under 46Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-102Frozen licensed odds snapshot	LOSS22 + 39 = 61; 61 > 46; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Paper return at corrected workbook prices; assumptions retained and identified in price evidence.

Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles

WAS 22 · PHI 24

Sunday, September 13th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW1-WAS-PHI-MONEYLINE	Philadelphia EaglesOwner corrected selection controls this tracker	-218Frozen licensed odds snapshot	WIN24 − 22 = +2; selected team won	1 × 100/218 = +0.4587u
ATSW1-WAS-PHI-ATS	Philadelphia Eagles -6Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-110Frozen licensed odds snapshot	LOSS24 + (-6) − 22 = -4	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW1-WAS-PHI-TOTAL	Over 44.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-105Frozen licensed odds snapshot	WIN22 + 24 = 46; 46 > 44.5; Over	1 × 100/105 = +0.9524u

Paper return at corrected workbook prices; assumptions retained and identified in price evidence.

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants

DAL 20 · NYG 28

Sunday, September 13th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW1-DAL-NYG-MONEYLINE	No released pickCorrected owner ledger: selection missing	Not capturedMissing	UNVERIFIEDSelection not identified in corrected ledger. Unassigned reported opening loss is separately counted, without assigning it to this game.	Not risked / not settled.
ATSW1-DAL-NYG-ATS	No released pickCorrected owner ledger: selection missing	Not capturedMissing	UNVERIFIEDSelection not identified in corrected ledger. Unassigned reported opening loss is separately counted, without assigning it to this game.	Not risked / not settled.
Over/underW1-DAL-NYG-TOTAL	No released pickCorrected owner ledger: selection missing	Not capturedMissing	UNVERIFIEDSelection not identified in corrected ledger. Unassigned reported opening loss is separately counted, without assigning it to this game.	Not risked / not settled.

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

DEN 10 · KC 31

Monday, September 14th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW1-DEN-KC-MONEYLINE	Kansas City ChiefsOwner corrected selection controls this tracker	-130NFL final and frozen market evidence; Supersedes Denver +110	WIN31 − 10 = +21; selected team won	1 × 100/130 = +0.7692u
ATSW1-DEN-KC-ATS	Kansas City Chiefs -2.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-110Frozen spread evidence; Supersedes Denver +2.5; assumed -110 pending odds-sheet confirmation	WIN31 + (-2.5) − 10 = +18.5	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u
Over/underW1-DEN-KC-TOTAL	Over 42.5Owner corrected selection controls this tracker	-110Frozen total evidence; Supersedes Under 42.5; assumed -110 pending odds-sheet confirmation	LOSS10 + 31 = 41; 41 < 42.5; Over	1u risked → −1.0000u

Paper return at corrected workbook prices; assumptions retained and identified in price evidence.

Unassigned owner-reported opening total

Reported loss

Unassigned reported opening-card result · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
Over/underW1-UNASSIGNED-TOTAL	Unassigned owner-reported losing totalOwner-reported loss included in corrected headline; not assigned to a game	-110Identity, line, and game pending owner confirmation; standard -110 accounting price	LOSSCorrected ledger row 11: owner-reported loss. Matchup, side and line are unidentified; not independently graded.	1u risked → −1.0000u (owner-reported loss)

Reported result; game identity unresolved.

Show the exact rows counted in this week’s totals

Moneyline · 12–3–0

LOSS: 3
W1-BUF-HOU-MONEYLINE, W1-ARI-LAC-MONEYLINE, W1-MIA-LV-MONEYLINE

UNVERIFIED: 1
W1-DAL-NYG-MONEYLINE

WIN: 12
W1-NE-SEA-MONEYLINE, W1-SF-LAR-MONEYLINE, W1-CHI-CAR-MONEYLINE, W1-TB-CIN-MONEYLINE, W1-NO-DET-MONEYLINE, W1-BAL-IND-MONEYLINE, W1-CLE-JAX-MONEYLINE, W1-ATL-PIT-MONEYLINE, W1-NYJ-TEN-MONEYLINE, W1-GB-MIN-MONEYLINE, W1-WAS-PHI-MONEYLINE, W1-DEN-KC-MONEYLINE

ATS · 8–7–0

LOSS: 7
W1-CHI-CAR-ATS, W1-BUF-HOU-ATS, W1-BAL-IND-ATS, W1-ATL-PIT-ATS, W1-NYJ-TEN-ATS, W1-MIA-LV-ATS, W1-WAS-PHI-ATS

UNVERIFIED: 1
W1-DAL-NYG-ATS

WIN: 8
W1-NE-SEA-ATS, W1-SF-LAR-ATS, W1-TB-CIN-ATS, W1-NO-DET-ATS, W1-CLE-JAX-ATS, W1-ARI-LAC-ATS, W1-GB-MIN-ATS, W1-DEN-KC-ATS

Over/under · 6–9–0

LOSS: 9
W1-CHI-CAR-TOTAL, W1-TB-CIN-TOTAL, W1-NO-DET-TOTAL, W1-ATL-PIT-TOTAL, W1-NYJ-TEN-TOTAL, W1-MIA-LV-TOTAL, W1-GB-MIN-TOTAL, W1-DEN-KC-TOTAL, W1-UNASSIGNED-TOTAL

UNVERIFIED: 2
W1-SF-LAR-TOTAL, W1-DAL-NYG-TOTAL

WIN: 6
W1-NE-SEA-TOTAL, W1-BUF-HOU-TOTAL, W1-BAL-IND-TOTAL, W1-CLE-JAX-TOTAL, W1-ARI-LAC-TOTAL, W1-WAS-PHI-TOTAL

Week 2 · all 16 games

Individual game review

Owner-supplied posted Week 2 prediction sheet · all 16 finals verified.

Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills

DET 31 · BUF 41

Thursday, September 17th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW2-DET-BUF-MONEYLINE	Buffalo BillsOwner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-240Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN41 − 31 = +10; selected team won	1 × 100/240 = +0.4167u
ATSW2-DET-BUF-ATS	Buffalo Bills -4.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN41 + (-4.5) − 31 = +5.5	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u
Over/underW2-DET-BUF-TOTAL	Under 54.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS31 + 41 = 72; 72 > 54.5; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Owner-supplied posted card; exact selections and lines transcribed from the image. ATS and total returns use a disclosed -110 assumption.

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons

CAR 34 · ATL 3

Sunday, September 20th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW2-CAR-ATL-MONEYLINE	Carolina PanthersOwner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-132Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN34 − 3 = +31; selected team won	1 × 100/132 = +0.7576u
ATSW2-CAR-ATL-ATS	Carolina Panthers -2.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN34 + (-2.5) − 3 = +28.5	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u
Over/underW2-CAR-ATL-TOTAL	Under 43.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN34 + 3 = 37; 37 < 43.5; Under	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u

Owner-supplied posted card; exact selections and lines transcribed from the image. ATS and total returns use a disclosed -110 assumption.

New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens

NO 24 · BAL 17

Sunday, September 20th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW2-NO-BAL-MONEYLINE	Baltimore RavensOwner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-405Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS17 − 24 = -7; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW2-NO-BAL-ATS	New Orleans Saints +8.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN24 + (+8.5) − 17 = +15.5	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u
Over/underW2-NO-BAL-TOTAL	Over 46.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS24 + 17 = 41; 41 < 46.5; Over	1u risked → −1.0000u

Owner-supplied posted card; exact selections and lines transcribed from the image. ATS and total returns use a disclosed -110 assumption.

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

MIN 9 · CHI 3

Sunday, September 20th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW2-MIN-CHI-MONEYLINE	Chicago BearsOwner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-220Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS3 − 9 = -6; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW2-MIN-CHI-ATS	Chicago Bears -4.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS3 + (-4.5) − 9 = -10.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW2-MIN-CHI-TOTAL	Over 48.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS9 + 3 = 12; 12 < 48.5; Over	1u risked → −1.0000u

Owner-supplied posted card; exact selections and lines transcribed from the image. ATS and total returns use a disclosed -110 assumption.

Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans

CIN 20 · HOU 6

Sunday, September 20th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW2-CIN-HOU-MONEYLINE	Cincinnati BengalsOwner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	+126Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN20 − 6 = +14; selected team won	1 × 126/100 = +1.2600u
ATSW2-CIN-HOU-ATS	Cincinnati Bengals +2.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN20 + (+2.5) − 6 = +16.5	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u
Over/underW2-CIN-HOU-TOTAL	Over 45.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS20 + 6 = 26; 26 < 45.5; Over	1u risked → −1.0000u

Owner-supplied posted card; exact selections and lines transcribed from the image. ATS and total returns use a disclosed -110 assumption.

Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots

PIT 3 · NE 20

Sunday, September 20th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW2-PIT-NE-MONEYLINE	Pittsburgh SteelersOwner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	+205Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS3 − 20 = -17; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW2-PIT-NE-ATS	Pittsburgh Steelers +4.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS3 + (+4.5) − 20 = -12.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW2-PIT-NE-TOTAL	Under 41.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN3 + 20 = 23; 23 < 41.5; Under	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u

Owner-supplied posted card; exact selections and lines transcribed from the image. ATS and total returns use a disclosed -110 assumption.

Green Bay Packers at New York Jets

GB 20 · NYJ 17

Sunday, September 20th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW2-GB-NYJ-MONEYLINE	New York JetsOwner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	+146Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS17 − 20 = -3; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW2-GB-NYJ-ATS	New York Jets +3.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN17 + (+3.5) − 20 = +0.5	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u
Over/underW2-GB-NYJ-TOTAL	Under 44.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN20 + 17 = 37; 37 < 44.5; Under	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u

Owner-supplied posted card; exact selections and lines transcribed from the image. ATS and total returns use a disclosed -110 assumption.

Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

CLE 23 · TB 19

Sunday, September 20th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW2-CLE-TB-MONEYLINE	Tampa Bay BuccaneersOwner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-460Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS19 − 23 = -4; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW2-CLE-TB-ATS	Tampa Bay Buccaneers -8.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS19 + (-8.5) − 23 = -12.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW2-CLE-TB-TOTAL	Under 41.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS23 + 19 = 42; 42 > 41.5; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Owner-supplied posted card; exact selections and lines transcribed from the image. ATS and total returns use a disclosed -110 assumption.

Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans

PHI 24 · TEN 20

Sunday, September 20th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW2-PHI-TEN-MONEYLINE	Philadelphia EaglesOwner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-350Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN24 − 20 = +4; selected team won	1 × 100/350 = +0.2857u
ATSW2-PHI-TEN-ATS	Philadelphia Eagles -7Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS24 + (-7) − 20 = -3.0	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW2-PHI-TEN-TOTAL	Under 39.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS24 + 20 = 44; 44 > 39.5; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Owner-supplied posted card; exact selections and lines transcribed from the image. ATS and total returns use a disclosed -110 assumption.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos

JAX 13 · DEN 20

Sunday, September 20th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW2-JAX-DEN-MONEYLINE	Jacksonville JaguarsOwner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	+126Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS13 − 20 = -7; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW2-JAX-DEN-ATS	Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS13 + (+2.5) − 20 = -4.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW2-JAX-DEN-TOTAL	Under 45.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN13 + 20 = 33; 33 < 45.5; Under	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u

Owner-supplied posted card; exact selections and lines transcribed from the image. ATS and total returns use a disclosed -110 assumption.

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers

LV 26 · LAC 14

Sunday, September 20th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW2-LV-LAC-MONEYLINE	Los Angeles ChargersOwner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-310Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS14 − 26 = -12; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW2-LV-LAC-ATS	Las Vegas Raiders +6.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN26 + (+6.5) − 14 = +18.5	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u
Over/underW2-LV-LAC-TOTAL	Under 43.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN26 + 14 = 40; 40 < 43.5; Under	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u

Owner-supplied posted card; exact selections and lines transcribed from the image. ATS and total returns use a disclosed -110 assumption.

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals

SEA 31 · ARI 7

Sunday, September 20th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW2-SEA-ARI-MONEYLINE	Arizona CardinalsOwner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption. The image displayed Seattle -198 / Arizona +166 while also displaying Arizona +4.5; the published selections are graded as shown.	+166Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS7 − 31 = -24; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW2-SEA-ARI-ATS	Arizona Cardinals +4.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption. The image displayed Seattle -198 / Arizona +166 while also displaying Arizona +4.5; the published selections are graded as shown.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS7 + (+4.5) − 31 = -19.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW2-SEA-ARI-TOTAL	Under 41.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption. The image displayed Seattle -198 / Arizona +166 while also displaying Arizona +4.5; the published selections are graded as shown.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN31 + 7 = 38; 38 < 41.5; Under	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u

Owner-supplied posted card; exact selections and lines transcribed from the image. ATS and total returns use a disclosed -110 assumption.

Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys

WAS 20 · DAL 37

Sunday, September 20th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW2-WAS-DAL-MONEYLINE	Washington CommandersOwner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	+176Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS20 − 37 = -17; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW2-WAS-DAL-ATS	Washington Commanders +3.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS20 + (+3.5) − 37 = -13.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW2-WAS-DAL-TOTAL	Over 50.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN20 + 37 = 57; 57 > 50.5; Over	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u

Owner-supplied posted card; exact selections and lines transcribed from the image. ATS and total returns use a disclosed -110 assumption.

Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers

MIA 13 · SF 35

Sunday, September 20th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW2-MIA-SF-MONEYLINE	San Francisco 49ersOwner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-950Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN35 − 13 = +22; selected team won	1 × 100/950 = +0.1053u
ATSW2-MIA-SF-ATS	San Francisco 49ers -13.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN35 + (-13.5) − 13 = +8.5	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u
Over/underW2-MIA-SF-TOTAL	Under 45.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS13 + 35 = 48; 48 > 45.5; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Owner-supplied posted card; exact selections and lines transcribed from the image. ATS and total returns use a disclosed -110 assumption.

Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs

IND 30 · KC 33

Sunday, September 20th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW2-IND-KC-MONEYLINE	Kansas City ChiefsOwner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-330Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN33 − 30 = +3; selected team won	1 × 100/330 = +0.3030u
ATSW2-IND-KC-ATS	Kansas City Chiefs -6.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS33 + (-6.5) − 30 = -3.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW2-IND-KC-TOTAL	Under 46.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS30 + 33 = 63; 63 > 46.5; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Owner-supplied posted card; exact selections and lines transcribed from the image. ATS and total returns use a disclosed -110 assumption.

New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams

NYG 6 · LAR 28

Monday, September 21st · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW2-NYG-LAR-MONEYLINE	New York GiantsOwner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	+280Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS6 − 28 = -22; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW2-NYG-LAR-ATS	New York Giants +7.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	LOSS6 + (+7.5) − 28 = -14.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW2-NYG-LAR-TOTAL	Under 47.5Owner-supplied Week 2 posted prediction sheet; ATS and total prices were not shown, so -110 is a labeled paper-return assumption.	-110Posted moneyline price; standardized -110 paper-return assumption for ATS and total because their prices were not shown	WIN6 + 28 = 34; 34 < 47.5; Under	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u

Owner-supplied posted card; exact selections and lines transcribed from the image. ATS and total returns use a disclosed -110 assumption.

Show the exact rows counted in this week’s totals

Week 3 · all 16 games

Individual game review

Preserved comparison sheet · pregame release proof incomplete.

Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers

ATL 35 · GB 14

Thursday, September 24th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW3-ATL-GB-MONEYLINE	Atlanta FalconsOwner-reported Thursday card; exact pregame line not recovered	+195September 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN35 − 14 = +21; selected team won	1 × 195/100 = +1.9500u
ATSW3-ATL-GB-ATS	Atlanta Falcons +4.5Owner-reported Thursday card; exact pregame line not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN35 + (+4.5) − 14 = +25.5	N/C: winning price missing.
Over/underW3-ATL-GB-TOTAL	Under 43Owner-reported Thursday card; exact pregame line not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS35 + 14 = 49; 49 > 43; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Thursday card recorded after final; Sunday line is not a recovered Thursday pregame line.

Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills

LAC 16 · BUF 24

Sunday, September 27th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW3-LAC-BUF-MONEYLINE	Buffalo BillsPreserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	-340September 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN24 − 16 = +8; selected team won	1 × 100/340 = +0.2941u
ATSW3-LAC-BUF-ATS	Los Angeles Chargers +7.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS16 + (+7.5) − 24 = -0.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW3-LAC-BUF-TOTAL	Under 50Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN16 + 24 = 40; 40 < 50; Under	N/C: winning price missing.

Preserved comparison sheet; independent pre-kickoff release proof not recovered.

Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns

CAR 18 · CLE 21

Sunday, September 27th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW3-CAR-CLE-MONEYLINE	Cleveland BrownsPreserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	+125September 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN21 − 18 = +3; selected team won	1 × 125/100 = +1.2500u
ATSW3-CAR-CLE-ATS	Cleveland Browns +2.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN21 + (+2.5) − 18 = +5.5	N/C: winning price missing.
Over/underW3-CAR-CLE-TOTAL	Over 42Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS18 + 21 = 39; 39 < 42; Over	1u risked → −1.0000u

Preserved comparison sheet; independent pre-kickoff release proof not recovered.

New York Jets at Detroit Lions

NYJ 24 · DET 31

Sunday, September 27th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW3-NYJ-DET-MONEYLINE	Detroit LionsPreserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	-300September 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN31 − 24 = +7; selected team won	1 × 100/300 = +0.3333u
ATSW3-NYJ-DET-ATS	Detroit Lions -6.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN31 + (-6.5) − 24 = +0.5	N/C: winning price missing.
Over/underW3-NYJ-DET-TOTAL	Under 47.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS24 + 31 = 55; 55 > 47.5; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Preserved comparison sheet; independent pre-kickoff release proof not recovered.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

HOU 17 · IND 19

Sunday, September 27th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW3-HOU-IND-MONEYLINE	Houston TexansPreserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	-120September 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS17 − 19 = -2; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW3-HOU-IND-ATS	Houston Texans -1.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS17 + (-1.5) − 19 = -3.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW3-HOU-IND-TOTAL	Over 42.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS17 + 19 = 36; 36 < 42.5; Over	1u risked → −1.0000u

Preserved comparison sheet; independent pre-kickoff release proof not recovered.

New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars

NE 6 · JAX 35

Sunday, September 27th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW3-NE-JAX-MONEYLINE	Jacksonville JaguarsPreserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	-155September 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN35 − 6 = +29; selected team won	1 × 100/155 = +0.6452u
ATSW3-NE-JAX-ATS	New England Patriots +3.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS6 + (+3.5) − 35 = -25.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW3-NE-JAX-TOTAL	Over 46Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS6 + 35 = 41; 41 < 46; Over	1u risked → −1.0000u

Preserved comparison sheet; independent pre-kickoff release proof not recovered.

Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins

KC 24 · MIA 10

Sunday, September 27th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW3-KC-MIA-MONEYLINE	Kansas City ChiefsPreserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	-650September 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN24 − 10 = +14; selected team won	1 × 100/650 = +0.1538u
ATSW3-KC-MIA-ATS	Miami Dolphins +11.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS10 + (+11.5) − 24 = -2.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW3-KC-MIA-TOTAL	No edge 46Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	NO PLAYOriginal sheet said No edge; excluded, even if the final total differs.	Not risked / not settled.

Preserved comparison sheet; independent pre-kickoff release proof not recovered.

Tennessee Titans at New York Giants

TEN 7 · NYG 12

Sunday, September 27th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW3-TEN-NYG-MONEYLINE	New York GiantsPreserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	-140September 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN12 − 7 = +5; selected team won	1 × 100/140 = +0.7143u
ATSW3-TEN-NYG-ATS	New York Giants -2.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN12 + (-2.5) − 7 = +2.5	N/C: winning price missing.
Over/underW3-TEN-NYG-TOTAL	Over 38Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS7 + 12 = 19; 19 < 38; Over	1u risked → −1.0000u

Preserved comparison sheet; independent pre-kickoff release proof not recovered.

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

CIN 27 · PIT 30

Sunday, September 27th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW3-CIN-PIT-MONEYLINE	Cincinnati BengalsPreserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	-190September 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS27 − 30 = -3; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW3-CIN-PIT-ATS	Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN30 + (+3.5) − 27 = +6.5	N/C: winning price missing.
Over/underW3-CIN-PIT-TOTAL	Over 42.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN27 + 30 = 57; 57 > 42.5; Over	N/C: winning price missing.

Preserved comparison sheet; independent pre-kickoff release proof not recovered.

Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders

SEA 31 · WAS 33

Sunday, September 27th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW3-SEA-WAS-MONEYLINE	Seattle SeahawksPreserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	-355September 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS31 − 33 = -2; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW3-SEA-WAS-ATS	Washington Commanders +7.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN33 + (+7.5) − 31 = +9.5	N/C: winning price missing.
Over/underW3-SEA-WAS-TOTAL	Over 40Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN31 + 33 = 64; 64 > 40; Over	N/C: winning price missing.

Preserved comparison sheet; independent pre-kickoff release proof not recovered.

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers

ARI 30 · SF 36

Sunday, September 27th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW3-ARI-SF-MONEYLINE	San Francisco 49ersPreserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	-410September 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN36 − 30 = +6; selected team won	1 × 100/410 = +0.2439u
ATSW3-ARI-SF-ATS	San Francisco 49ers -9.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS36 + (-9.5) − 30 = -3.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW3-ARI-SF-TOTAL	Under 48Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS30 + 36 = 66; 66 > 48; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Preserved comparison sheet; independent pre-kickoff release proof not recovered.

Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

MIN 23 · TB 16

Sunday, September 27th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW3-MIN-TB-MONEYLINE	Tampa Bay BuccaneersPreserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	+105September 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS16 − 23 = -7; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW3-MIN-TB-ATS	Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS16 + (+1.5) − 23 = -5.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW3-MIN-TB-TOTAL	Over 42.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS23 + 16 = 39; 39 < 42.5; Over	1u risked → −1.0000u

Preserved comparison sheet; independent pre-kickoff release proof not recovered.

Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints

LV 35 · NO 27

Sunday, September 27th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW3-LV-NO-MONEYLINE	New Orleans SaintsPreserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	-175September 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS27 − 35 = -8; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW3-LV-NO-ATS	New Orleans Saints -3.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS27 + (-3.5) − 35 = -11.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW3-LV-NO-TOTAL	Over 43.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN35 + 27 = 62; 62 > 43.5; Over	N/C: winning price missing.

Preserved comparison sheet; independent pre-kickoff release proof not recovered.

Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys

BAL 34 · DAL 31

Sunday, September 27th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW3-BAL-DAL-MONEYLINE	Baltimore RavensPreserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	-185September 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN34 − 31 = +3; selected team won	1 × 100/185 = +0.5405u
ATSW3-BAL-DAL-ATS	Baltimore Ravens -3.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS34 + (-3.5) − 31 = -0.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW3-BAL-DAL-TOTAL	Under 52.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS34 + 31 = 65; 65 > 52.5; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Preserved comparison sheet; independent pre-kickoff release proof not recovered.

Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos

LAR 26 · DEN 30

Sunday, September 27th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW3-LAR-DEN-MONEYLINE	Los Angeles RamsPreserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	-140September 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS26 − 30 = -4; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW3-LAR-DEN-ATS	Denver Broncos +2.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN30 + (+2.5) − 26 = +6.5	N/C: winning price missing.
Over/underW3-LAR-DEN-TOTAL	Over 44.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN26 + 30 = 56; 56 > 44.5; Over	N/C: winning price missing.

Preserved comparison sheet; independent pre-kickoff release proof not recovered.

Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears

PHI 7 · CHI 27

Monday, September 28th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW3-PHI-CHI-MONEYLINE	Chicago BearsPreserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	+190September 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN27 − 7 = +20; selected team won	1 × 190/100 = +1.9000u
ATSW3-PHI-CHI-ATS	Chicago Bears +4.5Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	WIN27 + (+4.5) − 7 = +24.5	N/C: winning price missing.
Over/underW3-PHI-CHI-TOTAL	Over 41Preserved September 27 comparison sheet; independent pregame release proof not recovered	Not capturedSeptember 27 9:53 AM ET comparison moneyline; exact ATS/total juice not captured	LOSS7 + 27 = 34; 34 < 41; Over	1u risked → −1.0000u

Preserved comparison sheet; independent pre-kickoff release proof not recovered.

Show the exact rows counted in this week’s totals

Moneyline · 10–6–0

LOSS: 6
W3-HOU-IND-MONEYLINE, W3-CIN-PIT-MONEYLINE, W3-SEA-WAS-MONEYLINE, W3-MIN-TB-MONEYLINE, W3-LV-NO-MONEYLINE, W3-LAR-DEN-MONEYLINE

WIN: 10
W3-ATL-GB-MONEYLINE, W3-LAC-BUF-MONEYLINE, W3-CAR-CLE-MONEYLINE, W3-NYJ-DET-MONEYLINE, W3-NE-JAX-MONEYLINE, W3-KC-MIA-MONEYLINE, W3-TEN-NYG-MONEYLINE, W3-ARI-SF-MONEYLINE, W3-BAL-DAL-MONEYLINE, W3-PHI-CHI-MONEYLINE

ATS · 8–8–0

LOSS: 8
W3-LAC-BUF-ATS, W3-HOU-IND-ATS, W3-NE-JAX-ATS, W3-KC-MIA-ATS, W3-ARI-SF-ATS, W3-MIN-TB-ATS, W3-LV-NO-ATS, W3-BAL-DAL-ATS

WIN: 8
W3-ATL-GB-ATS, W3-CAR-CLE-ATS, W3-NYJ-DET-ATS, W3-TEN-NYG-ATS, W3-CIN-PIT-ATS, W3-SEA-WAS-ATS, W3-LAR-DEN-ATS, W3-PHI-CHI-ATS

Over/under · 5–10–0

LOSS: 10
W3-ATL-GB-TOTAL, W3-CAR-CLE-TOTAL, W3-NYJ-DET-TOTAL, W3-HOU-IND-TOTAL, W3-NE-JAX-TOTAL, W3-TEN-NYG-TOTAL, W3-ARI-SF-TOTAL, W3-MIN-TB-TOTAL, W3-BAL-DAL-TOTAL, W3-PHI-CHI-TOTAL

NO PLAY: 1
W3-KC-MIA-TOTAL

WIN: 5
W3-LAC-BUF-TOTAL, W3-CIN-PIT-TOTAL, W3-SEA-WAS-TOTAL, W3-LV-NO-TOTAL, W3-LAR-DEN-TOTAL

Week 4 · all 16 games

Individual game review

Hash-verified posted reviewed AI editorial revision · all 16 finals verified.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns

PIT 24 · CLE 27

Thursday, October 1st · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW4-PIT-CLE-MONEYLINE	Pittsburgh SteelersPosted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-148October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS24 − 27 = -3; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW4-PIT-CLE-ATS	Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-120October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS24 + (-2.5) − 27 = -5.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW4-PIT-CLE-TOTAL	Under 38.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-115October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS24 + 27 = 51; 51 > 38.5; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Original selection rationale

Moneyline: Pittsburgh's pressure front faces Cleveland without starting center Elgton Jenkins. Pittsburgh allows 20.0 points per game versus Cleveland's 23.7.

ATS: A field-goal Pittsburgh win covers -2.5. Its 329.0 yards per game against Cleveland's 283.3 and pressure matchup support that margin.

Over/under: The offenses average 17.7 and 18.0 points; Cleveland's center absence can disrupt drives. Low conviction at an already low total; rain is not an automatic scoring penalty.

Hash-verified posted reviewed editorial revision; no wager receipt.

Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders

IND 30 · WAS 13

Sunday, October 4th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW4-IND-WAS-MONEYLINE	Indianapolis ColtsPosted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-192October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN30 − 13 = +17; selected team won	1 × 100/192 = +0.5208u
ATSW4-IND-WAS-ATS	Washington Commanders +3.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-108October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS13 + (+3.5) − 30 = -13.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW4-IND-WAS-TOTAL	Over 47.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-108October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS30 + 13 = 43; 43 < 47.5; Over	1u risked → −1.0000u

Original selection rationale

Moneyline: Indianapolis allowed only 223 yards in its 19-17 Houston win. Prefer the Colts narrowly while Washington's starting quarterback remains unsettled.

ATS: Washington +3.5 covers a field-goal loss in London. Its 132.0 rushing yards per game meet an Indianapolis defense allowing 141.3.

Over/under: Both defenses allow more than 30 points per game, while the offenses combine for 49.0. Washington scored 33 last week with Mariota starting.

Hash-verified posted reviewed editorial revision; no wager receipt.

Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens

TEN 18 · BAL 24

Sunday, October 4th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW4-TEN-BAL-MONEYLINE	Baltimore RavensPosted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-700October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN24 − 18 = +6; selected team won	1 × 100/700 = +0.1429u
ATSW4-TEN-BAL-ATS	Tennessee Titans +11.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-112October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN18 + (+11.5) − 24 = +5.5	1 × 100/112 = +0.8929u
Over/underW4-TEN-BAL-TOTAL	Under 42.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-105October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN18 + 24 = 42; 42 < 42.5; Under	1 × 100/105 = +0.9524u

Original selection rationale

Moneyline: Baltimore averages 30.7 points to Tennessee's 12.3, a substantial offensive gap favoring the Ravens outright. Tennessee scored seven against the Giants; two guards went to IR and both lead backs missed Wednesday practice. This winner forecast assumes Jackson plays.

ATS: Tennessee's last two losses were by four and five; +11.5 covers even a double-digit loss. Baltimore lost by seven and then won by three. Baltimore's line disruption and Jackson's limited Wednesday with a back problem reduce confidence in a comfortable blowout after Brazil travel.

Over/under: Tennessee has scored ten, 20 and seven, leaving Baltimore to supply most of the scoring required to exceed 42.5. Titans guard losses and RB uncertainty, plus Ravens quarterback and line limitations, support a lower total without treating rain as an automatic penalty.

Hash-verified posted reviewed editorial revision; no wager receipt.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

NE 29 · BUF 26

Sunday, October 4th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW4-NE-BUF-MONEYLINE	Buffalo BillsPosted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-290October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS26 − 29 = -3; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW4-NE-BUF-ATS	Buffalo Bills -6.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-120October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS26 + (-6.5) − 29 = -9.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW4-NE-BUF-TOTAL	Under 48.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-110October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS29 + 26 = 55; 55 > 48.5; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Original selection rationale

Moneyline: Buffalo has scored 101 points to New England's 36. Maye has one passing touchdown, six interceptions and nine sacks through three games.

ATS: Buffalo's home wins were by ten and eight; New England scored six last week. Gonzalez, Barmore and Moses missed Wednesday practice, with final status pending.

Over/under: New England's three game totals were 23, 23 and 41. Reaching 49 needs a major Patriots rebound or a very large Buffalo contribution.

Hash-verified posted reviewed editorial revision; no wager receipt.

New York Jets at Chicago Bears

NYJ 12 · CHI 23

Sunday, October 4th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW4-NYJ-CHI-MONEYLINE	Chicago BearsPosted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-175October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN23 − 12 = +11; selected team won	1 × 100/175 = +0.5714u
ATSW4-NYJ-CHI-ATS	New York Jets +3.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-115October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS12 + (+3.5) − 23 = -7.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW4-NYJ-CHI-TOTAL	Under 43.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-120October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN12 + 23 = 35; 35 < 43.5; Under	1 × 100/120 = +0.8333u

Original selection rationale

Moneyline: Chicago allowed nine and seven in its last two games. Keenum delivered 247 passing yards without a turnover or sack against Philadelphia.

ATS: Chicago's starter was unannounced Wednesday after a short turnaround. Geno Smith's 321-yard, three-touchdown game supports the Jets staying within a field goal.

Over/under: Chicago's last two games totaled 12 and 34. Its quarterback uncertainty and Jets practice absences at RB, WR, guard and TE support a defense-led game.

Hash-verified posted reviewed editorial revision; no wager receipt.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals

JAX 22 · CIN 17

Sunday, October 4th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW4-JAX-CIN-MONEYLINE	Jacksonville JaguarsPosted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	+120October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN22 − 17 = +5; selected team won	1 × 120/100 = +1.2000u
ATSW4-JAX-CIN-ATS	Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-105October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN22 + (+2.5) − 17 = +7.5	1 × 100/105 = +0.9524u
Over/underW4-JAX-CIN-TOTAL	Under 51.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-118October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN22 + 17 = 39; 39 < 51.5; Under	1 × 100/118 = +0.8475u

Original selection rationale

Moneyline: Jacksonville has allowed 36 points in three games versus Cincinnati's 63. Lawrence's seven passing touchdowns to two interceptions support an upset lean.

ATS: Jacksonville's first-three-game scoring differential is +46 versus Cincinnati's +17. Receiving 2.5 fits its stronger defensive start; these are unadjusted results, not a power rating.

Over/under: Jacksonville's game totals were 44, 33 and 41, with every opponent held to 20 or fewer. That supports a competitive game below 51.5.

Hash-verified posted reviewed editorial revision; no wager receipt.

Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans

DAL 34 · HOU 30

Sunday, October 4th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW4-DAL-HOU-MONEYLINE	Dallas CowboysPosted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	+136October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN34 − 30 = +4; selected team won	1 × 136/100 = +1.3600u
ATSW4-DAL-HOU-ATS	Dallas Cowboys +3Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-108October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN34 + (+3) − 30 = +7.0	1 × 100/108 = +0.9259u
Over/underW4-DAL-HOU-TOTAL	Over 48.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-105October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN34 + 30 = 64; 64 > 48.5; Over	1 × 100/105 = +0.9524u

Original selection rationale

Moneyline: Dallas scored 68 in its last two games; Houston scored 23 and is 0-3. Current offensive evidence favors a Dallas upset. Houston's Al-Shaair is week-to-week, while Anderson and Bullock were limited Wednesday, giving Dallas a plausible attacking route.

ATS: Dallas followed a 17-point win with a three-point loss to Baltimore. Receiving +3 fits a competitive game and pushes if Houston wins by three. Houston must reverse its scoring slump while Collins returns from a hamstring issue; limited Wednesday and padded Thursday work do not prove a full Sunday workload.

Over/under: Dallas' last two games totaled 57 and 65, with the Cowboys scoring 37 and 31, supporting Over 48.5. Both defenses have injury exposure: Dallas had Durant, Revel and Overshown DNP; Houston had Al-Shaair DNP and Anderson/Bullock limited. Collins' health matters to Houston's scoring contribution.

Hash-verified posted reviewed editorial revision; no wager receipt.

Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants

ARI 24 · NYG 36

Sunday, October 4th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW4-ARI-NYG-MONEYLINE	Arizona CardinalsPosted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-135October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS24 − 36 = -12; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW4-ARI-NYG-ATS	Arizona Cardinals -2.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-112October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS24 + (-2.5) − 36 = -14.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW4-ARI-NYG-TOTAL	Under 44.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-112October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS24 + 36 = 60; 60 > 44.5; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Original selection rationale

Moneyline: Arizona averages 21.0 points versus New York's 15.3; the Giants managed 12 in their first full game without Dart. Brian Burns' season-ending knee injury reduces the pass-rush threat Arizona faces.

ATS: A field-goal Arizona win covers -2.5. Its offensive production advantage supports that modest separation. Dart's absence and Burns' loss weaken both sides of New York's roster despite its home venue.

Over/under: New York scored six and 12 in its last two games and allows 18.3 points per game overall. The offenses combine for 36.3 points per game, supporting Under 44.5. Rain risk is a check, not a numerical adjustment.

Hash-verified posted reviewed editorial revision; no wager receipt.

Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles

LAR 24 · PHI 20

Sunday, October 4th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW4-LAR-PHI-MONEYLINE	Los Angeles RamsPosted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-162October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN24 − 20 = +4; selected team won	1 × 100/162 = +0.6173u
ATSW4-LAR-PHI-ATS	Los Angeles Rams -3Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-108October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN24 + (-3) − 20 = +1.0	1 × 100/108 = +0.9259u
Over/underW4-LAR-PHI-TOTAL	Under 43.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-108October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS24 + 20 = 44; 44 > 43.5; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Original selection rationale

Moneyline: The Rams gain 428.7 yards and allow 275.3 per game versus Philadelphia's 317.3 and 325.3. McVay expects Nacua to return; Philadelphia has a shorter week after scoring seven in Chicago.

ATS: Los Angeles' yardage advantage and expected Nacua return support a win beyond three. Philadelphia's receiving injuries and Baun's concussion protocol add concerns. A three-point Rams win pushes.

Over/under: The offenses average 20.3 and 18.3 points, below 43.5 combined. The Rams' 275.3 yards allowed and Philadelphia's disrupted receivers support Under; Nacua's return could improve Rams finishing, so this is a modest lean.

Hash-verified posted reviewed editorial revision; no wager receipt.

Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

GB 17 · TB 14

Sunday, October 4th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW4-GB-TB-MONEYLINE	Green Bay PackersPosted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-180October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN17 − 14 = +3; selected team won	1 × 100/180 = +0.5556u
ATSW4-GB-TB-ATS	Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-108October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN14 + (+3.5) − 17 = +0.5	1 × 100/108 = +0.9259u
Over/underW4-GB-TB-TOTAL	Under 38.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-108October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN17 + 14 = 31; 31 < 38.5; Under	1 × 100/108 = +0.9259u

Original selection rationale

Moneyline: Green Bay has the clearer quarterback advantage: Mayfield is out and rookie Jalon Daniels makes his first NFL start. The Packers have extra preparation time after Thursday football; narrowly prefer Love despite their poor start.

ATS: Tampa Bay +3.5 covers a field-goal loss; its defense allows 296.0 yards per game. Its 76.0 rushing yards allowed meet a Green Bay rushing attack averaging 48.7 with a disrupted offensive line, supporting a close game.

Over/under: Tampa Bay's first-time starter and McMillan's IR absence lower the offensive outlook from the Mayfield-led baseline. Green Bay scored 20 and 14 in its last two games, lost Reed to IR and struggles to run against a strong Tampa run defense.

Hash-verified posted reviewed editorial revision; no wager receipt.

Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings

MIA 10 · MIN 15

Sunday, October 4th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW4-MIA-MIN-MONEYLINE	Minnesota VikingsPosted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-600October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN15 − 10 = +5; selected team won	1 × 100/600 = +0.1667u
ATSW4-MIA-MIN-ATS	Miami Dolphins +10.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-112October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN10 + (+10.5) − 15 = +5.5	1 × 100/112 = +0.8929u
Over/underW4-MIA-MIN-TOTAL	Under 38.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-110October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN10 + 15 = 25; 25 < 38.5; Under	1 × 100/110 = +0.9091u

Original selection rationale

Moneyline: Minnesota allows 13.7 points per game; Miami has scored 13, 13 and ten. Achane's move to injured reserve further weakens Miami's attack.

ATS: Minnesota's last two wins were by six and seven, with only 255.3 yards per game. Jefferson's ankle and Murray's 168-yard Week 3 return limit the margin case.

Over/under: Miami averages 12.0 points and loses Achane. Minnesota averages 154.0 passing yards; its last two game totals were 12 and 39, with Jefferson unresolved.

Hash-verified posted reviewed editorial revision; no wager receipt.

Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders

KC 30 · LV 27

Sunday, October 4th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW4-KC-LV-MONEYLINE	Kansas City ChiefsPosted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-218October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN30 − 27 = +3; selected team won	1 × 100/218 = +0.4587u
ATSW4-KC-LV-ATS	Kansas City Chiefs -4.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-112October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS30 + (-4.5) − 27 = -1.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW4-KC-LV-TOTAL	Under 47.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-105October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS30 + 27 = 57; 57 > 47.5; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Original selection rationale

Moneyline: Kansas City gains 424.0 yards and allows 283.3 per game versus Las Vegas' 320.3 and 338.7. Mahomes and Walker supply productive passing and rushing routes.

ATS: Kansas City's wins were by 21, three in overtime, and 14. Walker's 5.5 yards per carry meets a defense allowing 116.3 rushing yards, supporting a margin above 4.5.

Over/under: The defenses allow 16.7 and 18.0 points. Kansas City's 183.7 passing yards allowed challenges the Raiders' touchdown-heavy start; the Under is a weak lean.

Hash-verified posted reviewed editorial revision; no wager receipt.

Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks

LAC 23 · SEA 30

Sunday, October 4th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW4-LAC-SEA-MONEYLINE	Seattle SeahawksPosted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-380October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN30 − 23 = +7; selected team won	1 × 100/380 = +0.2632u
ATSW4-LAC-SEA-ATS	Seattle Seahawks -7Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-115October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	PUSH30 + (-7) − 23 = +0.0	1u returned → 0.0000u net
Over/underW4-LAC-SEA-TOTAL	Under 42.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-102October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS23 + 30 = 53; 53 > 42.5; Under	1u risked → −1.0000u

Original selection rationale

Moneyline: Seattle allows 239.0 yards and 16.7 points per game; the Chargers have scored 14, 14 and 16. Darnold returned with 379 yards and four touchdowns.

ATS: Every Chargers loss was by eight or more; Seattle scored 31 in its last two games. McConkey, Awosika and Kolar entered the week with practice injury concerns.

Over/under: The Chargers have not reached 17 points, facing Seattle's 152.0 passing yards allowed. Seattle's thin backfield adds uncertainty to sustained scoring; weak Under lean.

Hash-verified posted reviewed editorial revision; no wager receipt.

Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers

DEN 14 · SF 24

Sunday, October 4th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW4-DEN-SF-MONEYLINE	San Francisco 49ersPosted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-148October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN24 − 14 = +10; selected team won	1 × 100/148 = +0.6757u
ATSW4-DEN-SF-ATS	Denver Broncos +3Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-120October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS14 + (+3) − 24 = -7.0	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW4-DEN-SF-TOTAL	Over 47.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-110October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS14 + 24 = 38; 38 < 47.5; Over	1u risked → −1.0000u

Original selection rationale

Moneyline: San Francisco has scored 27, 35 and 36. Purdy's nine passing touchdowns to one interception compare favorably with Nix's four and three.

ATS: Bosa's expected absence and unresolved Evans/Williams availability narrow the margin case. Denver just scored 30 against the Rams; +3 pushes on a three-point loss.

Over/under: San Francisco's 32.7 points and 136.3 rushing yards meet a Denver defense allowing 23.3 points and 143.7 rushing yards. Denver's scoring progressed from ten to 20 to 30.

Hash-verified posted reviewed editorial revision; no wager receipt.

Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers

DET 26 · CAR 32

Sunday, October 4th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW4-DET-CAR-MONEYLINE	Detroit LionsPosted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-180October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS26 − 32 = -6; selected team lost	1u risked → −1.0000u
ATSW4-DET-CAR-ATS	Detroit Lions -3.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-112October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	LOSS26 + (-3.5) − 32 = -9.5	1u risked → −1.0000u
Over/underW4-DET-CAR-TOTAL	Over 51.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-102October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN26 + 32 = 58; 58 > 51.5; Over	1 × 100/102 = +0.9804u

Original selection rationale

Moneyline: Detroit scored 31 in every game. Carolina put starting corners Horn and Jackson on IR and allows 193.3 rushing yards per game, giving Detroit two attack routes.

ATS: Carolina's depleted secondary and run defense support separation beyond 3.5. Its offensive line and receiving group also entered the week with several practice absences.

Over/under: Detroit's game totals were 61, 72 and 55, while Carolina averages 313.0 passing yards. Both secondaries have IR losses; Young practiced fully Wednesday.

Hash-verified posted reviewed editorial revision; no wager receipt.

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints

ATL 45 · NO 24

Monday, October 5th · Official score source

Market / ID	Preserved selection	Recorded odds	Grade and arithmetic	Paper net return · 1u risk
MoneylineW4-ATL-NO-MONEYLINE	Atlanta FalconsPosted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	+124October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN45 − 24 = +21; selected team won	1 × 124/100 = +1.2400u
ATSW4-ATL-NO-ATS	Atlanta Falcons +2.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-102October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN45 + (+2.5) − 24 = +23.5	1 × 100/102 = +0.9804u
Over/underW4-ATL-NO-TOTAL	Over 47.5Posted reviewed AI editorial revision; market observed October 1 at 1:14:50 PM EDT; bookmaker quote time unavailable	-112October 1 1:14:50 PM EDT posted ESPN-carried DraftKings comparison quote; bookmaker quote timestamp not supplied	WIN45 + 24 = 69; 69 > 47.5; Over	1 × 100/112 = +0.8929u

Original selection rationale

Moneyline: Penix's return brought 498 yards and 35 points at Green Bay, including 242 rushing yards. Atlanta also has three extra recovery days after Thursday football.

ATS: Atlanta's revived running game faces a defense allowing 27.7 points per game. Its own 47.7 rushing yards allowed and Etienne's absence support a close game or upset.

Over/under: New Orleans averages 305.7 passing yards against Atlanta's 273.3 allowed, with Terrell on IR. Atlanta's 35-point outing offers a route to answering the Saints.

Hash-verified posted reviewed editorial revision; no wager receipt.

Show the exact rows counted in this week’s totals

Moneyline · 12–4–0

LOSS: 4
W4-PIT-CLE-MONEYLINE, W4-NE-BUF-MONEYLINE, W4-ARI-NYG-MONEYLINE, W4-DET-CAR-MONEYLINE

WIN: 12
W4-IND-WAS-MONEYLINE, W4-TEN-BAL-MONEYLINE, W4-NYJ-CHI-MONEYLINE, W4-JAX-CIN-MONEYLINE, W4-DAL-HOU-MONEYLINE, W4-LAR-PHI-MONEYLINE, W4-GB-TB-MONEYLINE, W4-MIA-MIN-MONEYLINE, W4-KC-LV-MONEYLINE, W4-LAC-SEA-MONEYLINE, W4-DEN-SF-MONEYLINE, W4-ATL-NO-MONEYLINE

ATS · 7–8–1

LOSS: 8
W4-PIT-CLE-ATS, W4-IND-WAS-ATS, W4-NE-BUF-ATS, W4-NYJ-CHI-ATS, W4-ARI-NYG-ATS, W4-KC-LV-ATS, W4-DEN-SF-ATS, W4-DET-CAR-ATS

PUSH: 1
W4-LAC-SEA-ATS

WIN: 7
W4-TEN-BAL-ATS, W4-JAX-CIN-ATS, W4-DAL-HOU-ATS, W4-LAR-PHI-ATS, W4-GB-TB-ATS, W4-MIA-MIN-ATS, W4-ATL-NO-ATS

Over/under · 8–8–0

LOSS: 8
W4-PIT-CLE-TOTAL, W4-IND-WAS-TOTAL, W4-NE-BUF-TOTAL, W4-ARI-NYG-TOTAL, W4-LAR-PHI-TOTAL, W4-KC-LV-TOTAL, W4-LAC-SEA-TOTAL, W4-DEN-SF-TOTAL

WIN: 8
W4-TEN-BAL-TOTAL, W4-NYJ-CHI-TOTAL, W4-JAX-CIN-TOTAL, W4-DAL-HOU-TOTAL, W4-GB-TB-TOTAL, W4-MIA-MIN-TOTAL, W4-DET-CAR-TOTAL, W4-ATL-NO-TOTAL

What remains unresolved

No actual wager receipts, stakes or realized account returns were recovered. Week 2 ATS and total prices were not visible on the supplied posted card, so those paper returns use a disclosed −110 assumption. Week 3 requires an original timestamped published card and exact ATS/total prices to certify a pregame performance/ROI record. The reported Week 1 opening loss is counted; confirming its matchup, side and line would complete its individual game attribution. Corrected workbook price assumptions remain visible.

Original source files and prior review are preserved. This tracker follows the corrected owner selections.

Download every historical row and calculation

Weekly reconciliation

ROI with a visible price basis

How the corrected totals add up

Winner, spread and total are different calls.

Chicago ML + Jets +3.5

San Francisco ML + Denver +3

Why +3 rather than +3.5?

Were earlier points per game considered?

Individual game review

New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams

Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions

Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans

Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts

Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars

Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers

New York Jets at Tennessee Titans

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers

Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings

Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

Unassigned owner-reported opening total

Moneyline · 12–3–0

ATS · 8–7–0

Over/under · 6–9–0

Individual game review

Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons

New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans

Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots

Green Bay Packers at New York Jets

Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans

Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals

Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys

Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers

Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs

New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams

Moneyline · 6–10–0

ATS · 7–9–0

Over/under · 8–8–0

Individual game review

Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers

Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills

Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns

New York Jets at Detroit Lions

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars

Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins

Tennessee Titans at New York Giants

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers

Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints

Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys

Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos

Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears

Moneyline · 10–6–0

ATS · 8–8–0

Over/under · 5–10–0

Individual game review

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns

Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders

Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

New York Jets at Chicago Bears

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals

Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans

Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants

Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles

Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers